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Phase 2 — Uniform + cued arms with verified equal replay budget #2

Description

@Tejas-JB

PRD §6 Phase 2. Blocked by Phase 1 gate.

Deliverables

  • Replay-pass implementation with configurable budget B (measured in training tokens, not example count — see docs/decisions.md) and flag-oversampling ratio r (default 5×).
  • Hard invariant: assert at every replay step that
    |tokens(uniform_batch) − tokens(cued_batch)| / tokens(uniform_batch) < 0.01.
    Log every batch's token count. Without this assertion the "equal compute" claim doesn't hold.
  • Uniform arm, ≥3 seeds.
  • Cued arm, ≥3 seeds (same seed list as uniform, for paired comparison).
  • One Modal job at a time (owner-confirmed sequential parallelism — integrity > speedup).

Exit criterion

All three arms (no-replay from Phase 1, uniform, cued) have complete retention curves across ≥3 seeds with verified-equal replay budgets between uniform and cued.

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