diff --git a/docker-compose.override.local.yml b/docker-compose.override.local.yml
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..cc288bd90
--- /dev/null
+++ b/docker-compose.override.local.yml
@@ -0,0 +1,7 @@
+services:
+  keycloak:
+    ports:
+      - "8081:8080"
+  my-db:
+    ports:
+      - "5433:5432"
diff --git a/package-lock.json b/package-lock.json
index 74f3f4889..57704ed6e 100644
--- a/package-lock.json
+++ b/package-lock.json
@@ -24,11 +24,11 @@
         "rimraf": "^5.0.5"
       },
       "optionalDependencies": {
-        "@rspack/binding-darwin-arm64": "*",
-        "@rspack/binding-darwin-x64": "*",
-        "@rspack/binding-linux-arm64-gnu": "*",
-        "@rspack/binding-linux-x64-gnu": "*",
-        "@rspack/binding-linux-x64-musl": "*"
+        "@rspack/binding-darwin-arm64": "latest",
+        "@rspack/binding-darwin-x64": "latest",
+        "@rspack/binding-linux-arm64-gnu": "latest",
+        "@rspack/binding-linux-x64-gnu": "latest",
+        "@rspack/binding-linux-x64-musl": "latest"
       }
     },
     "node_modules/@ai-hero/sandcastle": {
diff --git a/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/PreliminaryResultsNotice.tsx b/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/PreliminaryResultsNotice.tsx
new file mode 100644
index 000000000..2f5a5b025
--- /dev/null
+++ b/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/PreliminaryResultsNotice.tsx
@@ -0,0 +1,50 @@
+import { Link, Typography } from "@mui/material";
+import ElectionStateWarning from "./ElectionStateWarning";
+import useElection from "../ElectionContextProvider";
+
+// docs/help/preliminary_results.md, as published by the docs site.
+const ARTICLE_URL = 'https://docs.bettervoting.com/help/preliminary_results.html';
+
+// Shared by this notice and the line in the submit-confirm dialog, so the two
+// cannot drift apart — a voter who is shown one has to be shown the other.
+//
+// public_results does two jobs. While voting is open it means "live tally
+// visible", which is what the notice is about. Once the election closes it means
+// "final results published", which carries none of the same inference risk — so
+// neither surface can follow the flag alone.
+export function useShowsLiveTally() {
+    const { election } = useElection();
+    return election.settings.public_results === true
+        && (election.state === 'open' || election.state === 'draft');
+}
+
+export default function PreliminaryResultsNotice() {
+    const { t, election } = useElection();
+    const showsLiveTally = useShowsLiveTally();
+
+    if (!showsLiveTally) return <></>;
+
+    // Read voter_access directly rather than going through
+    // getVoterAuthenticationMode(), which throws on a non-canonical settings
+    // shape — that would take the whole ballot down with it.
+    const isClosedList = election.settings.voter_access === 'closed';
+
+    return <ElectionStateWarning
+        title='preliminary_results_notice.title'
+        description='preliminary_results_notice.description'
+    >
+        {isClosedList &&
+            <Typography component='p' sx={{ mt: 1 }}>
+                {t('preliminary_results_notice.closed_list')}
+            </Typography>
+        }
+        <Typography component='p' sx={{ mt: 1 }}>
+            {/* Explicit target, rather than a markdown link inside the i18n value:
+                the shared link renderer defaults anchors to _self, and navigating
+                away from the ballot discards every score the voter has entered. */}
+            <Link href={ARTICLE_URL} target='_blank' rel='noreferrer'>
+                {t('preliminary_results_notice.link_text')}
+            </Link>
+        </Typography>
+    </ElectionStateWarning>
+}
diff --git a/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/Voting/VotePage.tsx b/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/Voting/VotePage.tsx
index 4131e98cf..d8aad6a26 100644
--- a/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/Voting/VotePage.tsx
+++ b/packages/frontend/src/components/Election/Voting/VotePage.tsx
@@ -19,6 +19,7 @@ import { useSubstitutedTranslation } from "~/components/util";
 import DraftWarning from "../DraftWarning";
 import SupportBlurb from "../SupportBlurb";
 import ElectionStateWarning from "../ElectionStateWarning"
+import PreliminaryResultsNotice, { useShowsLiveTally } from "../PreliminaryResultsNotice"
 import WriteInSection from "./WriteInSection"
 import { NOTA_ID, makeWriteInCandidateId, isWriteInCandidate } from "@equal-vote/star-vote-shared/utils/makeID";
 
@@ -239,6 +240,7 @@ const VotePage = () => {
   }
 
   const {t} = useSubstitutedTranslation(election.settings.term_type)
+  const showsLiveTally = useShowsLiveTally()
 
 
   if(pages.length == 0){
@@ -263,6 +265,10 @@ const VotePage = () => {
         state="archived"
         title="archived_warning.title"
         description="archived_warning.description"/>
+      {/* Sits above BallotPageSelector so it renders once per ballot rather than
+          once per race, and so it also covers DraggableIRVBallotView, which
+          bypasses GenericBallotView entirely. */}
+      <PreliminaryResultsNotice/>
       <BallotContext.Provider value={{
         instructionsRead: pages[currentPage].instructionsRead,
         setInstructionsRead: setInstructionsRead,
@@ -334,6 +340,14 @@ const VotePage = () => {
         <DialogTitle>{t('ballot.dialog_submit_title')}</DialogTitle>
         <DialogContent>
           <DialogContentText>
+            {/* The banner above the ballot is scrollable-past, and it is greyed out
+                behind this dialog. This is the only surface the voter must actively
+                confirm, so it carries one sentence rather than nothing. */}
+            {showsLiveTally &&
+              <Typography variant="body1" sx={{ mb: 2 }}>
+                {t('ballot.dialog_preliminary_results')}
+              </Typography>
+            }
 
             {!receiptEmail &&
               <TextField id="receipt-email" label={t('ballot.dialog_email_placeholder')} fullWidth type="text" value={inputEmail} sx={{
diff --git a/packages/frontend/src/i18n/en.yaml b/packages/frontend/src/i18n/en.yaml
index 3bcaa04a0..0349ce93e 100644
--- a/packages/frontend/src/i18n/en.yaml
+++ b/packages/frontend/src/i18n/en.yaml
@@ -40,6 +40,9 @@ ballot:
   dialog_cancel: Cancel
   dialog_submit: Submit
   dialog_abstention: Abstained - No preference was expressed
+  dialog_preliminary_results: >
+    Results for this {{election}} are public while voting is open.
+
   warnings:
     skipped_rank: Do not skip rankings. Rank candidates in order to clearly show preferences. Candidates left blank are ranked last.
     duplicate_rank: Do not rank multiple candidates equally. (Ranking candidates equally can void your ballot.)
@@ -851,6 +854,18 @@ draft_warning:
     All ballots will be counted as test votes and
     shall be reset prior to the final {{election}}.
 
+preliminary_results_notice:
+  title: Results are public while voting is open
+  description: >
+    Anyone with a link to this {{election}} can see the results before voting closes,
+    and those results update as {{votes}} are submitted. In a small {{election}} — or
+    if only a few people vote in a short window — it can be possible to work out how
+    someone voted.
+  closed_list: >
+    This {{election}} uses a voter list. Administrators can see which voters have voted
+    and when, which alongside live results can narrow that down further.
+  link_text: What preliminary results reveal
+
 temporary_access_warning:
   title: Unlock more with a free bettervoting account!
   description: >